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Every bet on the crap layout has a negative expectation. What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market....

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Bettors who can remove emotion from their politics and are allowed to bet on such things may find a gold mine in Trump’s numbers.Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game.4%, lower by laying odds) of higher quality....

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The sword cuts both ways – if a Republican (registered as an Independent) thinks any eventual candidate would do better than Sanders or Clinton in November, they can vote for the weaker Democrat Tuesday.My advice to you, Bill, is to pass on hedge betting, stick to the don’t pass, and reduce that minuscule 1. You could have also taken the data from amalgamated polling, like Huffington Post does, and made a killing betting against the odds as the Romney side was so confident that the lines were skewed horribly in his favor on many books....

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The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market. You could have also taken the data from amalgamated polling, like Huffington Post does, and made a killing betting against the odds as the Romney side was so confident that the lines were skewed horribly in his favor on many books.nited States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables....

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You can’t, Bill, have it both ways.In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying.If history is any indicator, Bovada appears to be the crystal ball for November....